Irish Leg End

3:00 Hereford – Handicap Hurdle (Class 4) (4yo+) 2m 4f Soft

IRISH LEGEND – (C Roberts - Jack Doyle)
# Has a huge weight of 12-3 on his back
# That is 17 l/b more than he carried for the win last time
# Has never had this much weight on his back and 11-0 Is his highest ever winning weight
# Has a 7 l/b penalty
# Ran below form on only previous run here, in a novice chase, unplaced and beaten 26 lengths so he may well dislike this track
# Won from a mark of 108 last time, has also won off 111 before
# On the 5 occasions he has ran from 113 or higher he has been unplaced (that includes when ridden by this claimer)
# Trainers record at Hereford is just 1 winner from 31 runners (3%)

Overview:

Favourite Irish Legend looks underpriced carrying a huge weight, he has always been beaten from this mark in the past and the 7 l/b penalty should be enough to stop him today. The only time he ran at Hereford he ran below form and the trainer does poorly here so I am happy to be a layer at the price. Mendosino has been very progressive and improved with each run, the handicapper has raised him 16 l/b but don’t rule out this horse of defying it. Magical Quest looks a massive price and can go well a comment that also applies to Take a Mile. Its an 18 runner race and we have plenty of horses running for us and the favourite looks no certainty to win this so my bet is a lay of the fav with a couple of small stake ‘Brucie Bonus’ win bets on two horses who I feel are massively overpriced. As long as the fav is turned over then the bet is a profitable one.

Advised Bet:

2 Point Lay – IRISH LEGEND @ 2.74
¼ Point Win – TAKE A MILE @ 20.0
¼ Point Win – MAGICAL QUEST @ 34.0

RESULT: http://horses.sportinglife.com/Full_Results/0,12493,252194,00.html

Another winning bet as the favourite Irish Legend could only manage 2nd place. The weight told in the end and he was finding it hard going at the business end and could only stay on at the one pace in 2nd.
Not many positives to say about my win selections except that they were consistent (both pulled up when tailed off), but it was a good winning bet and very enjoyable.