3:10 Southwell - Handicap (Class 5) (4yo+) 7f Std
SWEET PICKLE –
# Defied a lifetime high mark to win a 5 runner race last time over 6f
# Raised 3 l/b to a new lifetime high mark today and that should be enough to stop her
# Mare carrying top weight in a handicap
# Only ran 3 days ago and this may come to soon
# The win last time came over 6 furlongs
# Up in trip to 7f today, Not as good at 7f as she is 6f though is effective over trip
Overview:
Sweet Pickle defied a lifetime high mark last time and will have to raise the crossbar to win again today from this new mark. The step up in trip is not ideal and this could come too soon. She is a mare carrying top weight and may struggle to give weight away all round today. Seneschal is not proven on fibresand however he has won on soft turf and appears to be effective on most surfaces so shouldn’t have a problem with fibresand. Tom Queally booked, will try and make all and may prove hard to beat here. Flores Sea was 4th in Sweet Pickles last race after being heavily backed pre race from 12.0 into around 5.0, the step up in trip is more in his favour than the favourite, and he is 2 l/b better off today and he could reverse form here. Cha Cha Cha has only had 7 runs and is open to improvement, she is probably on a very fair mark from 75 today and if she handles the surface she cant be ruled out of winning. It’s a very competitive race and I think Sweet Pickle is underpriced and so must lay her.
Advised Bet:
3 point LAY – SWEET PICKLE @ 2.4
RESULT: http://horses.sportinglife.com/Full_Results/0,12493,252177,00.html
A pleasing result once more as the favourite Sweet Pickle was beaten by Flores. Flores was heavily punted on to beat Sweet Pickle just 3 days ago and stepping upto 7f today the outsider of the four made no mistake in getting the better of the mare who ran another great race in 2nd off a lifetime high mark, pulling 8 lengths clear of Cha Cha Cha and Seneschal. Neither of those horses were proven on fibresand and it didnt appear to suit them.
Thursday, 10 January 2008
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