Sexy sand stunner?

1:40 Southwell – Selling Stakes (Class 6) (3yo+) 7f Standard

PUT IT ON THE CARD – Well drawn in stall 3. Has finished in the top three on five of her 11 a/w runs. Both of her career wins came on Wolverhampton when the track was riding slow, with one of them over todays trip of 7f. The slow polytrack is more similar to fibresand so she shouldn’t have a problem on this surface and may run one of her best races today. From the period of Jan 12th til April 16th last year she won twice, finished 2nd and 3rd in 4 runs, so this is her time of year, she showed that she is running back into form last time with her best race since February 07 last time. Although only rated 49 does have the form to get involved in this race and a danger to all and looks massively overpriced in this weak race.

NAMROUD – Had his 1st run for 7 ½ months last time over hurdles, this race may come a bit soon 11 days later, he may still need this run his first flat race since April 07 and 2nd run of the season. All 6 career wins have come between the months of April and October. Has never won at this time of year. His best a/w form has been on polytrack and he has been beaten all 3 races here although he handles the surface. Trainer does well with his older horses here and has a 21% s/r in the last 5 years here. Namrouds record when dropped to claiming level is – 3/9, 7/13 and 13th of 15. A/W record is 9 runs and 9 defeats. 5 of his 6 career wins came over 7 ½ to 1mile and he could be a touch outpaced in the finish. Poorly drawn in stall 1 and could easily hit traffic unless he springs out the stalls and tries to make all.

LOUISIADE – Won a class 5 handicap over C&D last March from 58. Ran poorly last time in a seller on first run for almost 10 months. This may come too soon for him 17 days later. Seb Sanders a positive booking today. 5 of his 6 career wins came over this sort of trip. Has won twice from 11 runs on the fibresand and was placed on of 3 of 11 runs here.

DAZZLER MAC – Was 8th of 14 only previous course run. Only 1 career win in 19 runs came at thirsk in August 06 over 6f. Not in the best of form recently, has been unplaced in his last 10 races, a run that stretches back to August 06. He looks regressive, out of form and he may be better over shorter.

STEPASIDE – Unplaced in 7 of 8 runs on the flat before being switched to hurdling and being equally useless. Remains a maiden after 16 career runs. Has been beaten in his last 2 runs at Southwell at selling level. Trainer has had just 1 winner on the a/w from 48 runners in 2007. Lowly OR of 42.

MR CHOCOLATE DROP – Only 1 win from 21 starts. Did win over this C&D when the track was riding slow in Feb 07. Beaten in a class 7 classified event last time. Has been beaten a total of 37 lengths on his last 3 course runs. Unplaced and well beaten in his last 3 races at claiming level. Low grade horse with OR of 42. Trainer 0 from 28 at Southwell in last 5 years. All 37 a/w runners were beaten in 07.

WIZBY – All 3 career wins came between the months of March and June. Hasn’t won a race since June 06. Running badly and was 7th of 7 last time in a claimer over a mile here. Unplaced all 6 runs over 7 furlongs. Lowest OR in field of just 40.

CAPITAL LASS – Been beaten a total of 97 lengths in her last 4 races, all over course and distance in 3 xclass 6 handicaps and a seller. Did win over this C&D at this time last year but had been in better form before hand. Badly out of sorts for a long time now and impossible to fancy.

DIDATIC – Unplaced all 8 flat runs (turf and a/w). Unplaced only previous course run. Career maiden after 10 races. Unplaced 6/17 and 6/15 both runs at seller level. OR 43 and impossible to fancy.

Overview:

This looks a really weak race and there are question marks against most of the runners including the front two in the market. Put It On The Card stands out for me as a horse who could easily win this today. She may have plenty to find on the top two on official ratings, however they could both run flat (though no surprises if one of them win) and are far from solid today. Put It On The Card peaked at this time last year, showed signs she is running back into form, I'm confident she can run a really big race today at a massive price.

Advised Bet:

1 Point Win and 1 Point Place - PUT IT ON THE CARD @ 20.0 & 4.5

RESULT: http://horses.sportinglife.com/Full_Results/0,12493,251796,00.html

Put It On The Card ran a really disappointing race and finished in last place. I thought we had a good chance of getting a result with this horse but I couldn't have been more wrong as she ran an absolute stinker. There was a lot of moaning on the betfair forum about morning favourite Namrouds run, but they are pocket talking and it should never have been priced so short in the first place, the drift just meant it went off at a more realistic price and anyone who suggests that was a bent race clearly does not understand racing. A despicable start to Sunday for my selection all the same.